Tags

Search / “UL 60947-5-1 online read”

Matching Newsitems

    • REBLOG Croaking Cassandra: Further thoughts on the airport Part 1
      • Shortly after the release of the cost-benefit analysis of the proposed Wellington airport runway extension, prepared by Sapere for Wellington International Airport Limited (WIAL) I wrote a post in which I posed the question “If they build it, what if no one comes?” Since that post, I’ve been to one of the open day/public consultation meetings, have read and thought about the documents more thoroughly, and have read various pieces written by others, including the new one by Ian Harrison that I linked to yesterday.  I have also had some engagement with Sapere and WIAL, which has helped to sharpen my sense of what the issues really are. The cost-benefit analysis is not a business case document.  It has been prepared in support of a resource consent application.  What I hadn’t known when I wrote earlier (and was advised of by Sapere) is that  under the RMA the applicants will need to be able to demonstrate national benefits to get permission to fill in some more of Lyall Bay, to extend the runway. I’m sure that the cost-benefit analysis is not serving as a business case for Infratil, the major shareholder in WIAL.  But since this project is generally accepted to be viable only if there is significant public funding, and any such funding can only be defended if there would be material net public benefits , the Sapere cost-benefit analysis is by default serving as something of a business case at present.  If the numbers don’t stack up, neither the Wellington region councils nor central government should be putting any money into the project (beyond WIAL’s resources, and of course Wellington City Council is a 34 per cent shareholder in WIAL). In this post, I will offer a few thoughts on the plausibility of the assumed increase in international passenger traffic to/from New Zealand as a result of the extension. Extending the runway at Wellington airport could materially reduce the cost of some forms of international travel in and out of Wellington. If long-haul flights were offered,  lower costs could result by reducing the time taken (eg. by eliminating the one hour flight to Auckland and the stopover time in Auckland, it might reduce the total time for a trip to Singapore (and onward points) by perhaps 2.5 hours).  For those travelling anyway, those gains could be material –  time has an opportunity cost.  In addition, by allowing long-haul aircraft to fly into Wellington, the direct cost of international airfares in and out of Wellington could also be expected to fall –  quite materially, if the numbers Sapere quotes are correct.  Those gains apply not just to long haul routes themselves –  a Wellington-Singapore direct fare should be materially cheaper than the current options via Auckland, Christchurch or Sydney –  but also to trans-Tasman flights, as the longer runway would also facilitate used of wide-bodied aircraft on trans-Tasman routes (as for examples, the Emirates flights between Christchurch and Australia). Of course, simply building the runway extension does not bring about any of these savings.  They depend on airlines finding it profitable to run additional services.  And although international air travel has increased enormously to and from New Zealand in recent decades, provincial New Zealand is littered with the dreams of local authorities (airport owners) with aspirations to have an international airport.  New Zealand has plenty of attractive places, but one main international airport. Wellington, of course, has a significant business market, and business travel is typically much more profitable for airlines than leisure travel. And unlike the predominantly leisure travel into Christchurch, the Wellington business travel probably isn’t very seasonal.  So the idea the long haul flights into Wellington could be viable isn’t self-evidently absurd.  But, on the other hand, the economic cost of making such flights technically feasible – lengthening the runway –  is far higher than in many other places.  At $1m a metre, it is considerably more costly than putting some asphalt on some more grassy fields in Christchurch.  Wellington isn’t a natural place for a long-haul international airport. The WIAL proposal uses modelling by international consultants to estimate likely growth in traffic and passenger numbers with and without the extension.  There are some questions about the baseline forecast, including for example around the potential future impact of climate change mitigation policies.  But my main interest is the difference between these two –  the increase in traffic that would result from the runway extension itself. It is hard to pick one’s way through all the numbers, but the bottom line appears to be that the cost-benefit analysis is done on the basis that by 2060 there will be an additional 400000 foreign international passengers per annum arriving in Wellington, and an additional 200000 New Zealand international departures per annum through Wellington[1].  Many of these are people who would otherwise have travelled via Auckland or Christchurch, so that the net gain in international travel numbers to New Zealand is around 200000, with an additional 100000 or so New Zealanders travelling abroad.    Many of the gains are forecast to occur early in the period.  Thus, by 2035, the analysis assumes an annual net gain to New Zealand of around 125000 international visitors (relative to the no-extension baseline). How plausible is this?    The various reports highlight the phenomenon of “market stimulation” –  putting on new air services tends to stimulate total passenger numbers.  That shouldn’t be surprising.  Not only do point-to-point services lower the cost of visiting a particular place, but marketing expenditure raises awareness of the destinations concerned. On the other hand, one can’t just take for granted that such market stimulation will render long haul flights into and out of Wellington viable.  After all, there are plenty of cities around the world with few or no long haul flights.  Closer to home, Rotorua is an attractive tourist destination and can’t sustain direct flights even to Sydney. What of Wellington?  The modelling exercise involves lowering the cost of foreigners visiting Wellington –  to some extent artificially, because the costs of providing the longer runway are not passed back in additional charges to those using long haul flights –  but not the cost of them visiting New Zealand (since Auckland and Christchurch fares would stay largely unchanged).   Any long-haul flights into Wellington will almost certainly be from cities that already have flights to Auckland (and possibly to Christchurch).  Is it really plausible that an additional 200000 people per annum (or even 125000 by 2035) will visit New Zealand simply because they can fly direct to Wellington, or (in respect of trans-Tasman traffic) fly into Wellington more cheaply than previously? Perhaps I’m excessively negative on Wellington.    I reckon it is a nice place for a weekend, but not a destination that many long haul leisure travellers would choose.  What is there to do after the first two days?  And there is little or nothing else in the rest of the bottom of the North Island.   So it is plausible that lower fares resulting from additional competition would attract more weekend visitors from Australia. But no one is going to come for a weekend in Wellington all the way from China or Los Angeles.  And since the principal attractions of New Zealand are either in the upper North Island or the South Island, how many  more people are likely to come to New Zealand just because they can choose Wellington as the gateway for their New Zealand holiday? And what of New Zealanders travelling abroad?  Since the costs of Wellingtonians (and others in the nearby areas) getting to desirable destinations abroad would be cheaper if there were direct flights from Wellington, it is credible that the total number of New Zealand overseas travellers would increase.  In fact, whereas the modelling suggests twice as many new foreign visitors as new New Zealand international travellers (and in total there are twice as many international visitors to New Zealand as travelling New Zealanders), in this case I wonder if the putative new  routes would not be more attractive to New Zealanders than to foreigners?  One can illustrate the point with a deliberately absurd example: put on long haul international flights to Palmerston North, and they would be quite attractive to people in Manawatu (much easier/cheaper to get to desirable places like New York or London) but not very attractive at all to foreigners (for whom Manawatu has few attractions). But even if wide-bodied aircraft flights from Wellington did make overseas travel more attractive to New Zealanders, is the effect really large enough to be equivalent to one more trip every year for every 10 people in Wellington and its hinterland?  And would the effect still be remotely that large if passengers (users) had to cover the cost of providing the longer runway (which should really be the default option)? Reasonable people can differ on these issues. In my discussions, a lot seems to turn on just how attractive people think Wellington is.  I’m pretty sceptical that long haul tourists will ever come to New Zealand to see cities.  Perhaps if one is thinking of visiting New Zealand cities, Wellington is more attractive than our other cities, but even if so Wellington still has the feel of being a logical gateway to nowhere much.  It isn’t an obvious starting point for a “whole of New Zealand” trip, or a North Island one (given that most of the attractions are further north), or a South Island one.   So I’m left (a) sceptical that the net addition to visitor numbers to New Zealand will be as large as the analysis assumes even if the users don’t bear the costs, and (b) suspecting that the boost to the demand for New Zealanders to travel abroad might be greater than the boost to the demand for foreigners to visit New Zealand. On that latter point, the experts point out that they assume that the new long haul services will be provided by foreign airlines, and that the evidence of recent new air services to New Zealand provided  by foreign airlines is that they disproportionately boost the number of foreigners travelling.  I have no reason to doubt the numbers, but I still wonder if the same result would apply to routes into Wellington.  New flights into Auckland are often the first direct flights offered into New Zealand (as a whole) from that city or country.   My impression is that “New Zealand” is the destination marketed to long haul passengers.  But direct flights to/from Wellington do more to open up the world (more cheaply) to Wellingtonians than they do to open New Zealand to foreigners.   And if so, would the foreign airlines be keen to offer the Wellington services at all? This post has been about the sort of increased passenger numbers that might be expected if the runway was extended.  In some sense, that should be largely an issue for WIAL.  If they can extend their capacity and attract sufficient users at a price that covers the cost of capital of WIAL and its shareholders, the rest of us might not care much (I’m not much bothered about environmental issues, although my family enjoys the waves at Lyall Bay beach).    But the cost-benefit analysis being used to lure ratepayers and taxpayers into funding much of the proposed expansion suggests that there are very large economic benefits to New Zealand which cannot be captured directly by airlines or airports.  I think they are wrong, and my next post will explain why. [1] From tables 5.11 and 5.12 in the InterVISTAS report.
      • Accepted from Guardians of the Bays posts
      • Tagged as:
      • consultation
      • fares
      • runway-extension
      • lyall-bay

        • Lyall Bay, Wellington, Wellington City, Wellington, New Zealand/Aotearoa (OpenStreetMap)


    • Metlink school bus routes for start of Term 1 2020
      • Morning services 713 – Miramar – Kilbirnie – Newtown – Basin Schools             7:45  Miramar-DarlingtonRd (124)             8:36  BasinRes (sch)                        Daily 715 – Lyall Bay – Kilbirnie – Hataitai – Basin Schools             8:00  LyallBay-HungerfordRd (2)                8:28  BasinRes (sch)                        Daily 725 – Houghton Bay – Southgate – Island Bay – Basin Schools             7:45  HgtnBayRd nr Cave                           8:31  BasinRes (sch)                        Daily 726 – Island Bay – Owhiro Bay – Berhampore – Wellington High School             7:55  Esplanade opp Beach                        8:25  MasseyUni-WallaceSt (opp)    Daily             8:05  Island Bay-ReefSt at ShorlandPk        8:25  MasseyUni-WallaceSt (opp)    Daily 734 – Brooklyn – Kingston – Vogeltown – Basin Schools             7:50  OhiroRd at Bretby                             8:10  AdelaideRd at Basin (12)         Daily 736 – Karori (Wrights Hill) – Kelburn – Wellington College             7:40  KaroriMall-BeauchampSt                   8:13  BasinRes (sch)                        Daily             7:50  GippsSt at Cooper (sch)                     8:20  BasinRes (sch)                        Daily 737 – Karori – Kelburn – Wellington College & Wellington High School             7:43  Karori-AllingtonRd                            8:29  BasinRes (sch)                        Daily             7:45  Karori-AllingtonRd                            8:29  BasinRes (sch)                        Daily             7:47  Karori-AllingtonRd                            8:33  BasinRes (sch)                        Daily 743 – Wilton – Wadestown – Thorndon Colleges & Basin Schools             7:55  Wilton-SurreySt                                8:35  BasinRes (sch)                        Daily             8:00  Wilton-SurreySt                                8:40  BasinRes (sch)                        Daily 746 – Khandallah – Ngaio – Basin Schools – St Patrick’s College             7:35  HuttRd at Rangiora                           8:25  BasinRes (sch)                        Daily 764 – Karori – Wellington College             7:55  Karori-AllingtonRd                            8:43  BasinRes (sch)                        Daily 768 – Mairangi – Wellington, St Patrick’s & Rongotai Colleges             7:50  Mairangi-NorwichSt                          8:22  BasinRes (sch)                        Daily 770 – Kowhai Park – Kingston – Vogeltown – Basin & Kilbirnie Colleges             7:50  KowhaiPk-MitchellSt                         8:15  AdelaideRd at Basin (12)         Daily Afternoon services 718 – Wellington High School – Newtown – Seatoun           15:30  TaranakiSt (217)                              16:00  SeatounPk-HectorSt               Daily 719 – Wellington High School – Kilbirnie – Miramar North           15:30  WgtnHighSch (sch)                          15:56  ParkRd at Rotherham (86)       Daily 726 – Wellington High School – Berhampore – Owhiro Bay – Island Bay           15:25  WgtnHighSch (sch)                          15:44  IslandBay-ReefSt opp ShorlandPk                           Daily           15:30  WgtnHighSch (sch)                          16:10  IslandBay-ReefSt opp ShorlandPk                           Daily 734 – Brooklyn – Kingston – Vogeltown – Basin Schools           15:36  AdelaideRd at Basin (13)                 15:50  Brooklyn-A                             Daily 740 – Wellington College – Kelburn – Karori           15:30  TaranakiSt at AbelSmith                  15:58  Karori-KaroriRd                       Daily           15:31  TaranakiSt at AbelSmith                  15:59  Karori-KaroriRd                       Daily           15:32  TaranakiSt at AbelSmith                  16:00  Karori-KaroriRd                       Daily 742 – Basin Schools – Miramar Heights           15:40  BasinRes (sch)                                 16:18  MiramarShops-A                    Daily 769 – St Patrick’s & Wellington Colleges, Wellington High School – Northland – Wilton           15:38  TaranakiSt at AbelSmith                  16:10  Wilton-SurreySt                      Daily 770 – Basin Schools – Vogeltown – Kingston – Kowhai Park           15:49  AdelaideRd at Basin (13)                 16:29  KowhaiPk-MitchellSt              Daily
      • Accepted from WHS news by feedreader
      • Tagged as:
      • berhampore
      • brooklyn
      • hataitai
      • island-bay
      • karori
      • kelburn
      • khandallah
      • kilbirnie
      • lyall-bay
      • miramar
      • newtown
      • ngaio
      • northland
      • seatoun
      • thorndon
      • wadestown
      • wilton
      • vogeltown

        • Wellington High School, Taranaki Street, Mount Cook, Wellington, Wellington City, Wellington, 6011, New Zealand (OpenStreetMap)


961 - 990 of 5095

Matching websites

    • Gary Moller Online
      • News and commentary on health, fitness, injury prevention by Wellington Health and Fitness authority, Gary Moller. Updated daily.
      • Not tagged

    • Free online market appraisal of your home
      • David Garratt is a residential real estate marketing manager with ten years of experience selling homes in Wellington's Northern Suburbs. If you live in this area and would like an accurate indication of market value for your home with accompanying sales statistics, visit www.northernsuburbs.co.nz today and register
      • Tagged as:
      • johnsonville
      • estate-agents

    • Veda
      • Veda is a New Zealand based company dedicated to the creation of innovative, online media.
      • Tagged as:
      • design

    • Fleshwound
      • Professional Body Piercing, Branding, Cutting, Jewellery. Online mail order. Information on related subjects to Body Piercing. Aftercare advice
      • Tagged as:
      • business

    • Tim Wild Wedding Photography
      • Tim Wild Photography offers stylish, affordable, professional wedding photography throughout the Wellington region and lower North Island. Digital negatives are available, DVD slide show included, prices are online.
      • Tagged as:
      • photography

    • Sam Irwin
      • The online portfolio for Sam Irwin. Photography for me is a way of escape. A sort of falling-through-the-night-sky type of thing. Cinematography is my biggest passion.
      • Tagged as:
      • art

    • Regional Wines & Spirits
      • Wine, beer and spirits, large organic range. Free advice, wine education and instore tastings. Functions, glass hire, free delivery in CBD, online shop or bricks & mortar. NZ wide and International delivery.
      • Tagged as:
      • retail

    • Clyde Quay School
      • Clyde Quay School is a full primary school catering for children from New Entrants to Form Two. Our school was founded over one hundred years ago and has approximately 240 children between the ages of 5 and 13 years. There is also a kindergarten on site which caters for another 60 children aged 3-5 years
      • Tagged as:
      • primary
      • mount-victoria

        • Clyde Quay School, Elizabeth Street, Mt. Victoria, Wellington, 6011, New Zealand/Aotearoa


    • SwimWell
      • SwimWell offers year-round swimming lessons for children aged 5 months to 18 years — with a choice of four pools in Wellington.
      • Submitted by tonytw1
      • Tagged as:
      • swimming

    • Capital City Preschool
      • Capital City Preschool is a non-profit Preschool providing education and care for Preschool children aged 3-5 years, for over 18 years.
      • Submitted by tonytw1
      • Tagged as:
      • preschool

        • Macdonald Crescent, Te Aro, Wellington, 6011, New Zealand/Aotearoa


    • Boost New Media
      • Boost New Media is a Wellington, New Zealand based web design company. We specialise in Web and Cd Rom production and have over 5 experience in the New Media Industry.
      • Tagged as:
      • design

    • T3 Track Blog
      • T3 track or Technical Torture Trail will link the top of Vertigo and the top of Trickle Falls. The track will be two-way and is designed to be grade 5 techical downhill and a grade 5-6 technical uphill. The track will contain between 16 and 18 manmade and natural obstacles along the way. The track will hopefully be something that people can hone their skills on and attack with the attitude of "I'll clear it this time"
      • Tagged as:
      • makara
      • blogs
      • cycling

    • Musical Stars
      • Musical Stars is an after school musical and performing theatre class for children aged 5-16 years. We teach singing, dancing and drama in a positive, warm, pressure-free environment from two central Wellington locations.
      • Tagged as:
      • performing-arts
      • education

    • Upper Hutt Hockey Club
      • Upper Hutt Hockey Club has 5 senior teams competing in the Wellington competion and lots of junior teams. Trainings are at Fraser park in Lower Hutt, while games are either in Wellington or Lower Hutt, depending on your grade.
      • Tagged as:
      • hutt-valley
      • hockey

    • Wellington International Club Rugby Tens
      • The Wellington International Club Tens will be held on 5 & 6 February 2003 at Trust {Porirua} Park. This tournament, held successfully for the first time in 2002, is run in conjunction with the Telecom International Sevens held at the now renowned Westpac T
      • Tagged as:
      • events

    • Land Rovers Football Club
      • Land Rovers are an indoor football team playing (in a loose association with Land Information NZ)in Division 7 of Wellington lunch time soccer. Our aim is to win the competition, resolve world peace by 5 o'clock and keep our sponsors very happy indeed.
      • Tagged as:
      • soccer

    • St Bernard's School
      • St Bernard’s School Brooklyn is an urban Catholic primary school nestled in a quiet private cul-de-sac in Brooklyn, close to the shops, buses and only 5 minutes from the city centre. Places are available now especially for those with a Catholic connection.
      • Submitted by tonytw1
      • Tagged as:
      • catholic
      • primary
      • brooklyn

    • Valley Dragon Boating Club
      • VDC is the largest Dragon Boat Club in the Wellington region and is open to new paddlers from all experience levels Established in 2009 we are an energetic group of dragon boaters. Our club is made up of people from all over and from all age groups, in 2021 we had 5 teams paddling.
      • Submitted by tonytw1
      • Tagged as:
      • boating

    • Hutt Valley Mountain Bike Club
      • Established in 1991, the club covers the greater Wellington area, with a preference for cross country riding. The club provides a range of organised riding options including Sunday rides and Jungle rides, but probably the most popular is the Wednesday night rides. These can have anywhere from 5 to 20 or more depending on the ride.
      • Tagged as:
      • cycling
      • hutt-valley

Latest Newsitems

The latest newslog items.